Race 6B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dan Nickerson 15.5% 14.7% 14.0% 16.8% 13.7% 10.7% 6.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Colin MURPHY 16.0% 16.4% 16.8% 13.4% 12.7% 9.4% 8.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 8.7% 7.8% 8.5% 10.6% 10.4% 12.3% 13.6% 12.2% 9.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.3%
Duncan Swain 20.1% 18.0% 17.2% 13.4% 12.9% 6.9% 5.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 15.8% 14.8% 16.4% 12.8% 11.8% 10.4% 7.9% 4.8% 2.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Conor Fowler 6.5% 8.0% 7.4% 10.2% 9.8% 11.7% 13.1% 12.3% 9.9% 7.4% 3.1% 0.6%
William Thalheimer 2.1% 3.2% 2.7% 2.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.9% 9.8% 13.1% 17.0% 16.7% 15.8%
Alex Davis 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 3.7% 5.3% 7.9% 7.0% 10.2% 14.3% 16.0% 15.5% 10.7%
Michael Lukas 1.6% 2.5% 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 4.7% 9.4% 9.6% 14.7% 16.2% 17.6% 15.2%
Bradley Brown 7.7% 8.0% 8.8% 9.5% 10.0% 12.9% 12.4% 12.2% 10.0% 4.6% 2.9% 1.0%
Matthew Vernacchia 1.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 6.9% 8.8% 14.3% 20.9% 34.1%
Benjamin Mende 1.4% 2.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 5.4% 9.9% 10.9% 16.2% 20.3% 22.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.