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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+4.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+1.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+0.77vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+0.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65-1.55vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68-0.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.14+1.82vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.31+0.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.54-1.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.16vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.03-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.77Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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4.71Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.53Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island1.540.0%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 16.8% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 22.5% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 22.9% | 12.5% |
| Michael Lukas | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 10.7% |
| William Thalheimer | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 8.1% |
| Alex Davis | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 6.5% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Bruno Faviero | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.