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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Lippincott 7.7% 6.7% 8.1% 8.7% 12.4% 11.9% 11.3% 13.2% 10.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Dan Nickerson 16.8% 16.9% 16.4% 13.3% 12.5% 10.0% 7.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 18.1% 16.9% 15.9% 15.0% 10.3% 9.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 10.7% 11.1% 14.7% 13.5% 14.4% 10.7% 8.8% 7.2% 5.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 22.5% 20.0% 15.1% 13.3% 10.3% 8.5% 4.9% 2.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 7.8% 9.4% 9.2% 11.3% 10.9% 12.2% 12.7% 10.7% 9.5% 4.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Benjamin Mende 2.1% 2.7% 2.0% 3.3% 4.0% 5.7% 6.0% 8.8% 12.8% 17.2% 22.9% 12.5%
Michael Lukas 2.1% 3.5% 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.7% 8.5% 9.0% 13.2% 18.7% 18.9% 10.7%
William Thalheimer 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 4.6% 5.2% 8.7% 11.4% 14.2% 19.0% 19.3% 8.1%
Alex Davis 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 4.3% 4.3% 7.3% 8.7% 11.2% 16.4% 17.5% 14.1% 6.5%
Bradley Brown 7.4% 6.2% 9.3% 10.3% 11.1% 11.4% 12.6% 15.0% 8.2% 5.0% 2.9% 0.6%
Bruno Faviero 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 4.2% 7.6% 16.3% 61.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.