Race 8B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Fraser 10.0% 12.2% 10.8% 11.6% 13.7% 13.0% 12.2% 8.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Dan Nickerson 15.9% 16.6% 15.0% 16.5% 12.1% 10.0% 6.5% 4.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Davis 2.5% 4.3% 3.0% 3.4% 5.4% 6.6% 7.8% 11.3% 16.3% 19.4% 14.6% 5.4%
Duncan Swain 20.4% 20.0% 18.5% 13.2% 11.6% 8.1% 3.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Thalheimer 1.4% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 4.7% 5.4% 7.7% 11.6% 11.6% 19.0% 19.0% 10.9%
Colin MURPHY 18.8% 15.6% 17.1% 12.3% 12.6% 9.5% 6.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 9.4% 8.3% 10.1% 12.7% 10.7% 11.7% 12.0% 10.4% 8.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.5%
Robert Lippincott 9.1% 6.9% 7.9% 11.9% 9.1% 11.8% 12.1% 13.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Michael Lukas 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 4.7% 6.2% 9.9% 9.2% 16.9% 16.3% 20.4% 7.8%
Bradley Brown 8.3% 7.8% 9.6% 10.4% 11.0% 12.6% 11.7% 12.4% 8.1% 5.6% 1.8% 0.7%
Bruno Faviero 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 2.5% 2.7% 4.6% 8.1% 16.1% 61.1%
Benjamin Mende 1.9% 2.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 7.0% 9.4% 13.9% 18.4% 22.9% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.