Race 9B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Lippincott 6.7% 7.1% 8.8% 9.4% 9.8% 12.2% 15.6% 12.1% 9.6% 5.1% 3.2% 0.4%
Scott Goodrich 7.6% 8.6% 10.1% 10.7% 12.1% 13.1% 12.7% 11.3% 8.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Duncan Swain 22.4% 17.3% 17.1% 13.8% 11.5% 7.8% 6.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 15.5% 18.0% 15.3% 15.8% 12.7% 9.6% 5.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 10.9% 11.8% 13.0% 13.1% 12.1% 12.2% 10.3% 7.6% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Michael Lukas 2.1% 1.8% 3.1% 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 6.6% 9.9% 14.1% 18.8% 20.6% 9.5%
Colin MURPHY 17.7% 18.7% 15.1% 13.6% 12.2% 8.7% 6.8% 4.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley Brown 9.2% 8.4% 8.5% 10.6% 10.2% 13.8% 11.3% 11.6% 9.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.9%
Bruno Faviero 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 5.5% 11.0% 15.2% 57.1%
Alex Davis 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 3.2% 6.3% 6.1% 9.2% 12.0% 15.9% 16.8% 13.7% 6.7%
Benjamin Mende 2.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.7% 3.7% 5.0% 5.4% 9.9% 12.7% 16.9% 24.3% 14.1%
William Thalheimer 2.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.5% 3.7% 4.9% 7.5% 11.1% 14.5% 17.9% 19.2% 10.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.