Race 10B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

8.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dan Nickerson 16.9% 14.4% 18.0% 14.1% 11.3% 10.5% 7.8% 3.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 5.0% 9.0% 8.9% 10.5% 10.4% 12.0% 12.9% 12.4% 10.0% 6.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Bradley Brown 8.8% 6.6% 9.8% 8.6% 11.6% 11.9% 14.2% 11.5% 10.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Michael Lukas 1.8% 1.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.4% 6.3% 7.6% 10.0% 13.0% 19.1% 20.2% 9.6%
Alex Davis 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 7.1% 9.2% 11.9% 15.4% 16.8% 14.9% 6.7%
Benjamin Mende 1.9% 1.3% 2.1% 3.7% 3.5% 5.1% 4.7% 9.7% 13.4% 17.8% 22.9% 13.9%
William Thalheimer 2.9% 2.3% 2.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.2% 7.9% 11.0% 14.1% 16.5% 19.8% 9.5%
Colin MURPHY 18.6% 18.7% 12.9% 14.1% 11.6% 9.1% 7.0% 4.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 12.0% 12.9% 12.8% 14.3% 11.4% 12.4% 9.5% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 21.8% 21.7% 16.9% 11.4% 11.4% 7.4% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 7.4% 8.6% 8.4% 11.0% 13.7% 10.9% 11.2% 12.8% 8.8% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Bruno Faviero 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 4.0% 9.6% 16.2% 59.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.