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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.42+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.84+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.30-0.38vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Washington0.420.1%1st Place
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2.11University of Oregon1.840.3%1st Place
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2.62University of Puget Sound1.300.2%1st Place
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1.94Western Washington University2.020.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Boyer | 8.5% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 61.2% |
| Craig Emmes | 32.0% | 33.7% | 26.0% | 8.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 19.2% | 22.2% | 36.1% | 22.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 40.3% | 33.4% | 18.3% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.