← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Iowa-0.38+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.26-0.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-0.86-0.48vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-0.60-1.83vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-0.11-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95University of Iowa-0.380.2%1st Place
-
2.78Michigan Technological University-0.260.2%1st Place
-
3.52University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
-
3.17Marquette University-0.600.2%1st Place
-
2.58Marquette University-0.110.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Vatterott | 20.9% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| Timothy McElreath | 22.6% | 23.5% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 14.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 34.1% |
| Philip Niles | 16.4% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 22.4% | 23.4% |
| Davis Dolson | 28.3% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.