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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois-1.92+2.71vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.18-0.35vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.48-0.77vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.68-2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-2.18-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Illinois-1.920.1%1st Place
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1.65Michigan Technological University0.180.6%1st Place
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3.23Marquette University-1.480.1%1st Place
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2.42Marquette University-0.680.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Iowa-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Johnson | 6.7% | 10.7% | 21.3% | 27.8% | 33.5% |
| Brendan Wolohan | 55.1% | 28.3% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Bermeo | 11.1% | 17.7% | 25.0% | 29.3% | 16.9% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 23.0% | 34.0% | 24.9% | 14.0% | 4.1% |
| Emily Fohn | 4.1% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 25.5% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.