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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.44+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.07+1.04vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.19+0.19vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-0.52-0.43vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.07-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Illinois0.4431.9%1st Place
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3.04University of Notre Dame-0.0718.4%1st Place
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3.19Miami University-0.1915.2%1st Place
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3.57Saint Mary's College-0.5212.0%1st Place
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2.8Indiana University0.0722.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenico Sacchetti | 31.9% | 24.8% | 22.1% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 18.4% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 19.3% |
| Jenna Drobny | 15.2% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 23.5% | 22.8% |
| Makayla Perry | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 36.4% |
| Zander West | 22.4% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.