Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marlena Fauer 19.6% 16.0% 14.5% 13.0% 10.5% 7.3% 6.9% 4.7% 4.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Katii Gullick 8.3% 10.0% 8.4% 8.4% 10.7% 10.1% 7.6% 8.9% 7.6% 8.6% 6.8% 3.3% 1.3%
Sky Adams 6.1% 8.3% 8.8% 8.1% 9.5% 9.0% 7.9% 9.3% 10.4% 9.5% 6.5% 4.8% 1.8%
Natalie Sinn 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 4.1% 3.6% 5.1% 4.3% 6.4% 6.9% 9.5% 11.1% 21.3% 20.3%
Kaylee Schwitzer 6.6% 5.9% 7.3% 7.4% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 8.7% 10.0% 10.0% 10.1% 7.9% 4.0%
Annie Schmidt 8.0% 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 8.7% 8.9% 10.5% 8.6% 8.6% 8.7% 8.2% 7.3% 2.6%
Kimberly Kaull 9.3% 9.4% 8.5% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 8.5% 7.9% 7.5% 8.5% 6.5% 3.4% 1.9%
Erica Lush 4.1% 5.1% 5.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.8% 7.2% 7.9% 9.2% 10.4% 12.4% 13.2% 9.0%
Morgan Russom 8.0% 6.7% 8.5% 8.9% 7.2% 8.0% 9.9% 8.2% 10.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 2.3%
Lauren Turner 13.7% 12.5% 12.5% 11.2% 10.3% 8.5% 8.5% 6.9% 5.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Mariel Marchand 8.6% 10.4% 10.0% 10.5% 9.0% 9.6% 10.0% 8.6% 7.1% 6.0% 5.1% 3.6% 1.5%
Ellen Nielsen 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 1.6% 3.2% 3.0% 4.7% 3.9% 4.1% 8.4% 16.8% 48.1%
Irene Jacqz 4.4% 5.4% 5.6% 5.9% 7.0% 5.5% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 10.9% 12.9% 9.1% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.