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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.44+1.41vs Predicted
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2Saint Mary's College-0.52+1.59vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.07-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.07-0.98vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.19-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Illinois0.4431.9%1st Place
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3.59Saint Mary's College-0.5211.1%1st Place
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2.81Indiana University0.0721.6%1st Place
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3.02University of Notre Dame-0.0720.0%1st Place
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3.18Miami University-0.1915.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenico Sacchetti | 31.9% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 7.7% |
| Makayla Perry | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 36.6% |
| Zander West | 21.6% | 22.4% | 23.5% | 18.6% | 13.9% |
| Joseph Opferman | 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 20.1% |
| Jenna Drobny | 15.5% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.