Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia Crane 12.2% 14.4% 12.9% 12.2% 12.2% 9.9% 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.1% 7.1% 7.7% 8.5% 8.3% 11.1% 8.4% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 7.4% 4.7% 1.6%
Rachel Perry 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 7.2% 7.9% 6.4% 9.1% 9.2% 10.7% 12.3% 10.3% 11.3% 3.8%
Johanna Kincaid 10.3% 9.8% 13.5% 10.7% 10.8% 11.4% 8.9% 8.8% 6.8% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Morgan Kiss 32.1% 22.8% 15.8% 11.3% 7.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.9% 9.6% 7.5% 12.4% 9.7% 11.2% 9.3% 9.2% 7.7% 6.7% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9%
Caitlin Watson 8.1% 6.6% 8.3% 7.3% 9.1% 10.7% 10.3% 9.7% 8.6% 8.1% 7.8% 4.2% 1.2%
Laura Dunphy 7.9% 8.4% 10.2% 9.6% 10.0% 9.4% 11.2% 9.4% 9.3% 5.8% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Hillary Paulsen 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 3.5% 5.3% 7.8% 9.0% 11.1% 15.3% 16.6% 14.1%
Masie Comen 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.7% 7.3% 9.5% 18.0% 44.0%
Kate Levinson 3.9% 6.8% 8.6% 6.8% 7.6% 8.1% 10.1% 10.3% 10.8% 10.2% 7.4% 6.5% 2.9%
Emily Oltrogge 3.7% 4.1% 3.9% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 8.1% 9.1% 9.6% 11.2% 12.4% 11.6% 7.5%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 7.6% 10.2% 14.7% 20.0% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.