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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.19+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+0.40vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.07-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.07-1.00vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-0.52-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Miami University-0.1915.6%1st Place
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2.4University of Illinois0.4430.6%1st Place
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2.83Indiana University0.0722.4%1st Place
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3.0University of Notre Dame-0.0719.8%1st Place
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3.59Saint Mary's College-0.5211.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Drobny | 15.6% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 23.6% | 22.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 30.6% | 27.6% | 20.5% | 13.3% | 8.0% |
| Zander West | 22.4% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 14.8% |
| Joseph Opferman | 19.8% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 19.0% |
| Makayla Perry | 11.7% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.