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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.60+0.14vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.56+1.30vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.08-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.70-0.48vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.14Indiana University1.6087.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Illinois-1.563.9%1st Place
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2.93Miami University-1.085.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Notre Dame-1.702.4%1st Place
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4.1Saint Mary's College-2.411.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Groustra | 87.0% | 11.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Li | 3.9% | 23.4% | 28.1% | 28.1% | 16.6% |
| Griffin Boothby | 5.2% | 34.6% | 30.7% | 20.4% | 9.0% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.4% | 19.1% | 25.5% | 30.0% | 23.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.5% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.