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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.60+0.17vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.56+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.70+0.51vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.08-1.13vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.17Indiana University1.6085.3%1st Place
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3.35University of Illinois-1.563.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Notre Dame-1.703.1%1st Place
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2.87Miami University-1.086.2%1st Place
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4.1Saint Mary's College-2.412.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Groustra | 85.3% | 12.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Li | 3.1% | 22.2% | 29.1% | 27.6% | 18.0% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 3.1% | 18.5% | 25.4% | 29.9% | 22.9% |
| Griffin Boothby | 6.2% | 35.8% | 30.0% | 20.7% | 7.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 2.1% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.