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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.60+0.23vs Predicted
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2Miami University-1.08+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.51-0.33vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-2.41+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.56-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23Indiana University1.6079.8%1st Place
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3.22Miami University-1.084.5%1st Place
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2.67University of Notre Dame-0.5110.0%1st Place
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4.29Saint Mary's College-2.411.4%1st Place
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3.59University of Illinois-1.564.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Groustra | 79.8% | 17.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Boothby | 4.5% | 21.6% | 33.5% | 28.9% | 11.6% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 10.0% | 39.5% | 29.6% | 15.8% | 5.1% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.4% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 60.5% |
| Chris Li | 4.3% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 36.2% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.