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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.60+0.15vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.56+1.36vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.08-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.70-0.55vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.15Indiana University1.6086.4%1st Place
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3.36University of Illinois-1.563.6%1st Place
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2.9Miami University-1.085.9%1st Place
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3.45University of Notre Dame-1.702.8%1st Place
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4.14Saint Mary's College-2.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Groustra | 86.4% | 12.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Li | 3.6% | 21.6% | 27.9% | 28.6% | 18.2% |
| Griffin Boothby | 5.9% | 35.0% | 30.9% | 19.7% | 8.5% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.8% | 20.2% | 26.4% | 30.2% | 20.4% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.