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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.60+0.16vs Predicted
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2Miami University-1.08+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.70+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.56-0.64vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.16Indiana University1.6085.7%1st Place
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2.92Miami University-1.085.0%1st Place
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3.4University of Notre Dame-1.703.8%1st Place
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3.36University of Illinois-1.563.5%1st Place
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4.15Saint Mary's College-2.411.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Groustra | 85.7% | 12.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Boothby | 5.0% | 35.5% | 30.2% | 20.5% | 8.8% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 3.8% | 21.9% | 25.4% | 28.4% | 20.5% |
| Chris Li | 3.5% | 21.4% | 28.6% | 28.0% | 18.4% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.9% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 23.1% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.