Race 3B

saisa-districts

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Hernandez 19.2% 21.8% 18.3% 16.9% 12.7% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zeke Horowitz 27.5% 22.4% 18.6% 14.9% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Savoie 7.6% 8.6% 10.4% 13.2% 15.3% 16.7% 14.5% 8.8% 4.1% 0.8% 0.0%
William Heausler 14.1% 15.9% 17.3% 16.0% 16.3% 11.3% 5.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
SEAN Ross 17.7% 17.9% 16.9% 16.8% 13.8% 9.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Barney 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 9.2% 11.7% 17.2% 21.8% 19.0% 6.7%
Drew Lisicki 5.8% 6.2% 6.3% 8.4% 12.9% 15.4% 16.8% 15.1% 8.6% 3.9% 0.6%
Ian Nora 2.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 5.7% 10.2% 14.6% 17.5% 19.0% 16.4% 5.8%
Marten Kendrick 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 5.9% 10.8% 15.8% 19.3% 18.6% 11.6% 4.4%
Brion Capo 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 4.0% 6.2% 8.9% 17.5% 59.0%
Robert Marshall 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 1.3% 3.1% 4.4% 7.0% 9.7% 17.4% 30.4% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.