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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.62+8.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+2.49vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+2.76vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+5.99vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.69vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.04+1.29vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82+1.26vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.75-2.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.60-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.14+0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-4.52vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.52vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.70-3.82vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-5.24vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.20-9.11vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.87-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.5%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University3.0511.7%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University1.623.4%1st Place
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6.49Stanford University2.6111.5%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University2.407.8%1st Place
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11.99Old Dominion University1.812.4%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
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9.29Tulane University2.045.2%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University1.824.4%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University2.758.8%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Naval Academy2.607.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Wisconsin1.141.9%1st Place
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8.48University of Miami2.326.2%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.712.2%1st Place
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11.18Jacksonville University1.702.9%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.552.9%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.207.2%1st Place
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13.38University of Vermont0.871.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 19.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Will Priebe | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.