Race 5B

saisa-districts

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Hernandez 20.3% 20.6% 18.1% 16.6% 12.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Savoie 8.5% 9.3% 11.5% 12.3% 18.4% 15.6% 12.4% 7.9% 3.4% 0.5% 0.2%
SEAN Ross 16.0% 16.1% 16.7% 17.1% 15.6% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
William Heausler 14.3% 15.4% 17.2% 18.3% 13.9% 11.9% 5.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Drew Lisicki 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 9.6% 10.0% 15.4% 17.7% 15.3% 10.0% 5.0% 0.5%
Zeke Horowitz 26.5% 23.9% 19.7% 11.1% 9.5% 5.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Battigaglia 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 5.7% 7.9% 12.6% 15.5% 19.7% 16.2% 8.8% 3.1%
Robert Marshall 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 4.2% 6.8% 10.9% 17.4% 28.7% 25.5%
Cole Barney 2.2% 2.2% 3.1% 2.7% 4.5% 7.8% 12.4% 16.6% 22.8% 18.6% 7.1%
Ian Nora 2.3% 1.7% 3.3% 4.4% 4.2% 8.2% 14.9% 17.9% 19.8% 17.8% 5.5%
Brion Capo 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.3% 4.3% 9.1% 20.1% 58.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.