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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+5.56vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.75vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+5.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+6.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+2.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-0.95vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.04+1.48vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-1.61vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+1.19vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-3.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.36vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-1.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-3.02vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.87-1.37vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.62-4.57vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.70-6.00vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.14-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Stanford University2.6110.2%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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8.43University of Miami2.325.8%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University1.824.5%1st Place
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7.94Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.1%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University3.0512.1%1st Place
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9.48Tulane University2.043.9%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University2.758.2%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University2.408.5%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.607.9%1st Place
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11.96Old Dominion University1.812.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.553.1%1st Place
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13.63University of Vermont0.872.0%1st Place
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11.43Fordham University1.623.0%1st Place
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11.0Jacksonville University1.703.5%1st Place
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12.87University of Wisconsin1.142.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 26.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.