Race 1A

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Travis Cottle 12.5% 13.9% 14.1% 11.3% 16.1% 12.5% 9.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2%
George Halsted 5.8% 4.7% 6.9% 7.4% 10.1% 9.9% 12.3% 14.9% 14.2% 9.6% 4.2%
William Putnam Jr. 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 10.3% 13.6% 24.3% 24.2%
Aras Karaitis 14.2% 13.5% 14.0% 15.9% 13.1% 11.0% 7.6% 5.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Zi Chong Kao 13.4% 12.4% 11.3% 12.0% 10.8% 13.4% 10.4% 8.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.6%
David Oliver 20.7% 20.6% 16.4% 14.5% 9.4% 6.1% 6.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Ryan Davidson 8.6% 8.0% 8.7% 11.1% 10.4% 11.9% 12.7% 11.5% 8.4% 6.7% 2.0%
Katie Barbour 13.9% 15.0% 15.6% 12.4% 9.9% 10.8% 9.9% 7.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.4%
Katy Aiello 3.6% 4.3% 3.0% 4.4% 6.0% 7.5% 9.4% 13.5% 16.5% 19.2% 12.6%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 3.7% 6.1% 6.6% 11.7% 17.5% 45.1%
Timothy McElreath 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 7.3% 7.7% 9.8% 12.1% 17.9% 16.9% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.