Race 2A

wet-your-willie

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Oliver 19.4% 20.8% 16.5% 13.5% 12.3% 9.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 14.2% 14.8% 14.5% 14.4% 10.9% 10.4% 10.0% 5.4% 4.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Ryan Davidson 6.5% 7.2% 9.5% 7.5% 10.7% 11.8% 13.1% 12.9% 12.3% 6.3% 2.2%
William Putnam Jr. 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 2.8% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 9.7% 15.4% 23.8% 24.3%
Aras Karaitis 17.4% 14.4% 13.8% 13.0% 12.3% 10.5% 8.0% 6.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Zi Chong Kao 11.9% 13.9% 10.2% 13.5% 13.3% 11.3% 9.6% 7.6% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Timothy McElreath 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 5.6% 7.7% 7.5% 10.0% 13.6% 14.9% 18.7% 9.8%
Katy Aiello 3.8% 2.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 9.5% 9.3% 12.8% 15.0% 18.6% 11.9%
Katie Barbour 13.6% 12.4% 14.3% 13.1% 11.5% 10.6% 9.9% 8.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.8%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.5% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.9% 5.6% 7.1% 10.6% 17.7% 46.1%
George Halsted 5.9% 5.7% 7.7% 9.3% 8.1% 9.8% 13.4% 13.9% 13.3% 9.2% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.