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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.10vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+3.80vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+6.39vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+3.91vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.61-0.15vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-0.62vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62+1.25vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.75-3.58vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-0.13vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.04-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.72-0.11vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.14-2.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.60-8.33vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-6.09vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.70-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island2.785.7%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.3%1st Place
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7.8Boston College2.207.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University1.824.0%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University2.619.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.407.8%1st Place
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8.38University of Miami2.327.4%1st Place
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11.25Fordham University1.623.4%1st Place
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7.42Georgetown University2.758.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University1.812.5%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University2.045.4%1st Place
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13.89University of Vermont0.721.3%1st Place
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12.87University of Wisconsin1.142.2%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy2.607.8%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.553.9%1st Place
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11.06Jacksonville University1.703.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 29.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.