Race 3A

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Oliver 23.5% 21.1% 17.0% 16.1% 9.5% 6.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 15.9% 16.0% 15.7% 14.9% 12.6% 8.8% 8.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Katie Barbour 13.0% 12.8% 17.1% 15.3% 11.7% 11.4% 9.6% 4.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1%
George Halsted 5.7% 5.7% 7.6% 7.1% 10.9% 13.1% 14.0% 13.6% 11.3% 7.8% 3.2%
Aras Karaitis 18.4% 18.6% 13.1% 14.2% 12.0% 9.9% 7.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Ryan Davidson 7.6% 9.9% 8.6% 12.0% 12.1% 12.0% 13.5% 9.7% 7.9% 5.1% 1.6%
Nicholas Lewis 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 2.6% 5.0% 6.5% 8.9% 11.8% 13.4% 21.1% 22.0%
Katy Aiello 4.6% 3.0% 6.1% 5.2% 9.4% 10.6% 10.8% 12.9% 15.3% 13.8% 8.3%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 1.7% 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 9.0% 10.9% 19.1% 41.6%
Timothy McElreath 4.4% 4.3% 5.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.9% 10.1% 15.7% 15.8% 13.3% 8.0%
William Putnam Jr. 2.6% 3.7% 4.1% 3.9% 5.9% 8.1% 9.7% 12.6% 16.6% 18.0% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.