← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.74vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+5.69vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.81+8.95vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.20+4.10vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+5.80vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.82+4.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.87+6.22vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.13vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami2.32-0.64vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.62+1.30vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.05-4.97vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.40-4.18vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.04-3.69vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.61-7.33vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.75-7.52vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.14-2.97vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.71-5.58vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University1.70-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.74University of Rhode Island2.786.3%1st Place
-
7.69U. S. Naval Academy2.607.3%1st Place
-
11.95Old Dominion University1.812.5%1st Place
-
8.1Boston College2.207.2%1st Place
-
10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.554.5%1st Place
-
10.12George Washington University1.823.9%1st Place
-
13.22University of Vermont0.871.9%1st Place
-
7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.9%1st Place
-
8.36University of Miami2.325.8%1st Place
-
11.3Fordham University1.623.5%1st Place
-
6.03Harvard University3.0510.3%1st Place
-
7.82Roger Williams University2.407.4%1st Place
-
9.31Tulane University2.045.3%1st Place
-
6.67Stanford University2.6110.7%1st Place
-
7.48Georgetown University2.758.3%1st Place
-
13.03University of Wisconsin1.142.1%1st Place
-
11.42Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
-
11.09Jacksonville University1.703.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 22.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 21.3% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.