Race 5A

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Travis Cottle 10.7% 12.0% 13.3% 12.9% 11.0% 13.1% 11.3% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7%
Katie Barbour 12.5% 10.7% 14.3% 11.7% 11.1% 10.4% 11.5% 8.3% 6.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Ryan Davidson 6.2% 6.3% 6.7% 7.6% 8.8% 9.9% 12.4% 14.0% 12.8% 10.3% 5.0%
Zi Chong Kao 9.7% 10.2% 10.1% 11.7% 10.7% 11.5% 13.5% 10.0% 6.9% 4.6% 1.1%
Aras Karaitis 14.2% 12.6% 14.0% 13.6% 10.6% 11.2% 9.1% 6.3% 5.6% 2.4% 0.4%
Mary Prothero 15.3% 13.4% 12.5% 13.3% 13.9% 9.1% 7.1% 7.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.1%
Katy Aiello 3.9% 4.5% 3.0% 4.4% 5.4% 6.1% 7.5% 11.9% 14.7% 22.6% 16.0%
Timothy McElreath 3.2% 3.5% 3.0% 5.0% 5.6% 7.9% 6.8% 11.1% 16.2% 20.7% 17.0%
David Oliver 17.8% 20.0% 15.1% 11.4% 11.8% 9.5% 6.4% 3.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
George Halsted 5.1% 5.7% 7.1% 6.1% 8.3% 7.9% 10.6% 13.8% 15.2% 13.7% 6.5%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 5.4% 9.4% 17.2% 52.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.