← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.05+5.00vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.75+5.48vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.78vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+7.14vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.20+2.98vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.32+2.44vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.70vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.38vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.81+3.06vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.04-0.64vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.87+2.49vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin1.14+0.92vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.40-5.25vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.62-2.59vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.61-8.42vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.71-4.53vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University1.82-6.88vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University1.55-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.0Harvard University3.0512.6%1st Place
-
7.48Georgetown University2.758.5%1st Place
-
7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.1%1st Place
-
11.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.553.4%1st Place
-
7.98Boston College2.207.3%1st Place
-
8.44University of Miami2.325.7%1st Place
-
8.7University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
-
7.62U. S. Naval Academy2.608.2%1st Place
-
12.06Old Dominion University1.811.6%1st Place
-
9.36Tulane University2.044.8%1st Place
-
13.49University of Vermont0.871.4%1st Place
-
12.92University of Wisconsin1.142.3%1st Place
-
7.75Roger Williams University2.408.2%1st Place
-
11.41Fordham University1.622.5%1st Place
-
6.58Stanford University2.6110.1%1st Place
-
11.47Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
-
10.12George Washington University1.824.1%1st Place
-
10.7Jacksonville University1.553.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 25.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 20.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.