Race 8 - nwicsa-coed-quals | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.4

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Hannah Darrin & Athina Ebert

University of Washington

2.81

+0.73

vs Predicted
3

Craig Emmes & Sophie Thomas

University of Oregon

1.84

-0.35

vs Predicted
4

Colin Thompson & Annin Ramsing

University of Puget Sound

1.30

-0.83

vs Predicted
6

Katherine Stephens & Calla Ward

Western Washington University

2.05

-3.55

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.73

Hannah Darrin & Athina Ebert

University of Washington

2.81

0.5%

1st Place
2.65

Craig Emmes & Sophie Thomas

University of Oregon

1.84

0.2%

1st Place
3.17

Colin Thompson & Annin Ramsing

University of Puget Sound

1.30

0.1%

1st Place
2.45

Katherine Stephens & Calla Ward

Western Washington University

2.05

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Hannah Darrin	51.6%	28.5%	15.2%	4.7%
Craig Emmes	16.6%	25.8%	33.6%	24.0%
Colin Thompson	10.9%	14.4%	21.5%	53.2%
Katherine Stephens	20.9%	31.3%	29.7%	18.1%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.