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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.59+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-1.38+2.19vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-0.46-0.01vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-0.95vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.38-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.78-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Hamilton College0.5948.9%1st Place
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4.19University of Rochester-1.387.1%1st Place
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2.99Stevens Institute of Technology-0.4617.8%1st Place
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3.05Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5515.4%1st Place
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4.21Syracuse University-1.387.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Rochester-1.783.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 48.9% | 27.9% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Josephine Freis | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 25.7% | 24.3% |
| Niall Powers Ozyurt | 17.8% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Josh Elliott | 15.4% | 23.6% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 4.7% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 25.2% | 24.9% |
| Nicholas Gould | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.