Race 6A

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mary Prothero 12.3% 12.9% 14.2% 13.9% 12.8% 11.6% 10.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Zi Chong Kao 10.4% 11.3% 11.6% 10.6% 11.8% 11.5% 10.7% 9.4% 8.2% 3.7% 0.8%
Travis Cottle 10.9% 12.0% 12.4% 12.4% 10.7% 12.0% 10.9% 9.7% 5.7% 3.1% 0.2%
Katie Barbour 11.7% 10.6% 10.4% 11.7% 14.6% 9.8% 10.9% 9.3% 7.9% 2.4% 0.7%
Aras Karaitis 14.8% 13.1% 12.4% 13.8% 10.7% 10.5% 10.0% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 0.2%
Ryan Davidson 5.7% 8.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.4% 11.5% 11.2% 13.4% 11.9% 10.1% 4.3%
David Oliver 21.2% 20.1% 15.2% 12.0% 11.1% 7.4% 5.9% 3.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
George Halsted 5.7% 4.2% 6.2% 7.6% 7.8% 9.2% 10.7% 13.6% 13.9% 16.0% 5.1%
Katy Aiello 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 3.1% 5.0% 5.8% 8.0% 11.5% 16.4% 22.2% 17.6%
Timothy McElreath 3.3% 3.1% 4.5% 5.0% 4.7% 7.7% 7.3% 10.8% 15.7% 21.5% 16.4%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 6.3% 9.0% 15.8% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.