Race 7A

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Katie Barbour 13.2% 14.8% 15.8% 13.5% 15.9% 10.6% 7.5% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4%
David Oliver 25.8% 21.5% 17.2% 14.7% 7.5% 6.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Aras Karaitis 15.5% 15.6% 16.6% 15.1% 12.5% 10.0% 8.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Davidson 7.9% 8.9% 7.9% 12.2% 10.7% 13.2% 12.8% 12.5% 7.9% 4.7% 1.3%
Travis Cottle 15.5% 17.0% 15.4% 13.8% 12.1% 10.2% 8.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
George Halsted 6.0% 6.8% 7.4% 8.7% 10.7% 12.2% 13.4% 12.0% 10.6% 8.8% 3.4%
Timothy McElreath 5.2% 4.1% 5.2% 5.1% 9.2% 9.7% 10.8% 15.0% 15.3% 12.2% 8.2%
Katy Aiello 5.0% 3.3% 4.8% 6.3% 8.2% 10.7% 11.3% 12.8% 14.7% 13.8% 9.1%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 1.8% 4.0% 5.1% 8.7% 12.2% 19.1% 40.4%
William Putnam Jr. 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 6.2% 7.0% 8.6% 12.8% 16.3% 19.8% 15.3%
Nicholas Lewis 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.6% 5.2% 5.9% 9.7% 10.7% 15.8% 19.6% 21.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.