Race 8A

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Katie Barbour 11.5% 12.6% 12.9% 12.9% 14.5% 12.5% 10.5% 6.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Aras Karaitis 16.3% 14.8% 13.8% 14.2% 11.3% 11.9% 8.2% 5.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Travis Cottle 13.0% 12.1% 13.1% 13.7% 14.0% 10.5% 10.2% 7.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.2%
David Oliver 20.2% 18.1% 14.8% 16.2% 11.8% 8.4% 5.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
George Halsted 5.6% 5.8% 7.1% 7.7% 8.5% 9.7% 12.0% 13.8% 14.9% 11.1% 3.8%
Ryan Davidson 6.9% 7.6% 10.0% 8.4% 10.1% 11.3% 13.5% 12.7% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2%
Timothy McElreath 4.3% 3.9% 3.9% 5.5% 6.2% 8.6% 10.6% 13.1% 18.0% 16.4% 9.5%
Mary Prothero 16.2% 16.8% 16.4% 12.3% 11.0% 10.9% 7.9% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Katy Aiello 3.2% 4.5% 3.9% 3.6% 5.9% 7.4% 9.9% 14.1% 17.0% 18.0% 12.5%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 8.4% 11.1% 18.0% 45.3%
Nicholas Lewis 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 3.2% 5.1% 8.4% 10.3% 13.9% 24.5% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.