Race 9A

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Travis Cottle 10.4% 12.8% 12.3% 12.9% 11.5% 13.0% 11.2% 7.6% 5.1% 2.7% 0.5%
David Oliver 20.8% 17.6% 15.3% 13.6% 10.8% 8.0% 6.4% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Mary Prothero 13.4% 12.7% 14.6% 12.7% 10.5% 11.1% 11.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.3% 0.2%
Katie Barbour 10.6% 12.2% 11.2% 12.0% 12.4% 11.9% 8.6% 9.7% 6.8% 4.0% 0.6%
Zi Chong Kao 11.6% 10.1% 11.5% 11.7% 9.7% 11.4% 10.2% 10.8% 7.1% 5.0% 0.9%
Aras Karaitis 13.5% 14.4% 12.4% 12.5% 13.3% 9.2% 8.2% 7.3% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4%
George Halsted 5.8% 5.3% 5.5% 7.1% 9.4% 8.2% 11.2% 12.7% 15.5% 12.6% 6.7%
Timothy McElreath 3.8% 2.7% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 9.9% 10.4% 15.2% 21.0% 16.7%
Ryan Davidson 6.1% 7.3% 7.8% 7.3% 8.9% 11.2% 12.0% 13.2% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7%
Katy Aiello 3.0% 3.4% 4.5% 3.4% 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 11.6% 15.4% 21.9% 17.1%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 5.2% 9.2% 18.9% 51.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.