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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+7.25vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.35+5.86vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+8.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.12vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.42+2.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.02vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.61+2.73vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-4.08vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.10-1.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-4.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.09+0.07vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-3.51vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-2.06vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.42-4.59vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-4.91vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Boston College2.565.6%1st Place
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7.86Tulane University2.356.3%1st Place
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11.59George Washington University1.272.5%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy2.045.0%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University2.427.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.7%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University3.1815.2%1st Place
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10.73University of Rhode Island1.613.9%1st Place
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4.92Stanford University3.1515.7%1st Place
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8.8Jacksonville University2.106.0%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University2.688.1%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University1.593.6%1st Place
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13.07University of Wisconsin1.091.5%1st Place
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10.49University of Miami1.933.4%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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11.41Fordham University1.423.3%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.4%1st Place
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12.54Northeastern University1.071.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Lars Osell | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.