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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Northwestern University1.16+2.80vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University1.25+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.60-0.13vs Predicted
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5Washington University1.30-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.00-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.51-0.73vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.26-0.17vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-0.28-1.08vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.21-2.98vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.12-7.31vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-1.20-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.47Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Michigan1.600.2%1st Place
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4.48Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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7.83Michigan Technological University-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.92Indiana University-0.280.0%1st Place
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7.02Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Michigan1.120.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Illinois-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Cottle | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Aras Karaitis | 14.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| David Oliver | 17.3% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mary Prothero | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| Timothy McElreath | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 15.3% |
| Katy Aiello | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 22.7% | 16.5% |
| George Halsted | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 7.5% |
| Katie Barbour | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nick Van Antwerp | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.