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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Travis Cottle 9.8% 12.6% 12.8% 12.7% 12.4% 11.9% 11.9% 7.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6%
Aras Karaitis 14.1% 12.5% 14.8% 13.1% 11.0% 10.1% 9.7% 7.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.3%
David Oliver 17.3% 17.9% 14.9% 13.1% 11.7% 9.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Mary Prothero 13.5% 13.4% 11.9% 13.9% 13.5% 11.7% 8.1% 7.0% 4.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Zi Chong Kao 11.5% 10.8% 11.5% 11.2% 9.6% 11.4% 11.0% 9.7% 8.7% 3.7% 0.9%
Ryan Davidson 6.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 9.6% 12.0% 13.0% 12.3% 9.6% 4.8%
Timothy McElreath 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 5.5% 6.9% 8.5% 10.9% 15.3% 22.3% 15.3%
Katy Aiello 3.9% 2.5% 4.0% 3.7% 5.4% 8.3% 7.4% 10.7% 14.9% 22.7% 16.5%
George Halsted 5.1% 5.2% 4.5% 7.0% 8.4% 6.5% 10.7% 14.5% 15.4% 15.2% 7.5%
Katie Barbour 13.8% 12.3% 12.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.6% 9.5% 8.1% 6.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Nick Van Antwerp 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.4% 6.6% 9.1% 16.9% 53.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.