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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.72vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.15+2.86vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.35+4.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+3.34vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+5.51vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.42+0.38vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93+1.53vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-0.11vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-5.35vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.090.00vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-2.50vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-4.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.70vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.56vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.05-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Harvard University3.1814.6%1st Place
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4.86Stanford University3.1517.3%1st Place
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7.62Tulane University2.356.9%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy2.044.9%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.566.6%1st Place
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11.51Fordham University1.422.7%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University2.426.6%1st Place
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8.83Jacksonville University2.105.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Miami1.932.8%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.3%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island1.613.7%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
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13.0University of Wisconsin1.092.1%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University1.272.5%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University1.593.2%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.1%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University1.071.8%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 17.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Abe Weston | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 18.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Lars Osell | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.