Race 1B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Barch 18.3% 17.6% 16.5% 12.4% 13.5% 9.0% 7.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Michael Kang 9.8% 8.8% 10.3% 11.5% 11.0% 12.9% 12.0% 11.6% 8.6% 3.1% 0.4%
David Kluger 17.0% 16.3% 16.3% 12.3% 11.8% 10.8% 7.9% 5.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Kelly Seago 15.1% 14.2% 12.1% 14.8% 13.0% 11.8% 7.9% 6.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Andrew Hess 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 7.9% 7.6% 9.4% 12.7% 15.0% 17.4% 8.9% 1.4%
John Buzzell 11.8% 11.5% 11.6% 12.8% 12.9% 11.1% 9.7% 8.8% 6.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Jessica Traver 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 7.5% 8.6% 11.0% 13.1% 14.9% 15.3% 7.3% 1.5%
Jason Doyle 10.1% 10.0% 12.5% 12.2% 9.0% 11.0% 12.1% 10.9% 9.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Doug Rombach 4.4% 6.3% 4.5% 6.6% 8.4% 7.9% 12.2% 15.7% 18.9% 10.6% 4.5%
Haley Johnson 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 2.4% 2.5% 2.1% 3.8% 9.7% 29.2% 46.9%
Michael Metzen 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 4.1% 8.0% 33.4% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.