Race 2B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Buzzell 9.3% 12.5% 11.7% 11.9% 13.1% 12.8% 11.1% 10.0% 5.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Rachel Barch 20.5% 18.0% 17.7% 11.3% 10.9% 8.9% 6.6% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Kang 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 10.6% 10.9% 13.0% 11.7% 13.6% 9.5% 4.1% 0.1%
David Kluger 17.2% 15.2% 14.7% 16.8% 11.1% 9.3% 8.2% 4.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Kelly Seago 16.7% 16.1% 13.4% 13.1% 12.3% 10.7% 6.9% 6.6% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Jessica Traver 5.8% 6.1% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 13.7% 13.7% 17.8% 8.8% 2.0%
Doug Rombach 6.1% 5.2% 6.1% 7.2% 7.9% 10.4% 11.4% 13.8% 18.5% 11.1% 2.3%
Andrew Hess 6.3% 6.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.7% 9.9% 12.4% 12.9% 16.3% 8.5% 1.7%
Jason Doyle 7.9% 10.5% 10.6% 10.1% 12.2% 11.4% 12.6% 11.7% 8.5% 3.2% 1.3%
Michael Metzen 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 8.7% 28.7% 47.6%
Haley Johnson 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 4.4% 7.7% 32.3% 44.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.