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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+3.85vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.42+9.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+5.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.93vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.42+2.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+0.77vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.35+0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.03vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+3.33vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59+0.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-1.50vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.10-4.38vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.18-9.35vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.09-1.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-2.99vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.27-5.66vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.61-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Stanford University3.1515.6%1st Place
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11.43Fordham University1.422.9%1st Place
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8.53Boston College2.564.6%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.045.0%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University2.427.8%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University2.688.0%1st Place
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7.79Tulane University2.356.8%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.4%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University1.593.5%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.221.8%1st Place
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10.5University of Miami1.933.9%1st Place
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8.62Jacksonville University2.105.8%1st Place
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4.65Harvard University3.1816.7%1st Place
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13.03University of Wisconsin1.091.7%1st Place
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13.01University of Vermont1.051.5%1st Place
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11.34George Washington University1.272.9%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island1.613.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Lars Osell | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 19.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.