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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+3.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.91vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.66vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+4.78vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.35+2.69vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+5.48vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.27+4.44vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56+0.43vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-2.39vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+2.05vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-0.98vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.42-5.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-1.75vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-4.40vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.67vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-4.01vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.93-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Stanford University3.1516.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.0%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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8.78Jacksonville University2.104.8%1st Place
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7.69Tulane University2.357.0%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University1.422.3%1st Place
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11.44George Washington University1.272.2%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.564.9%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University2.689.6%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Naval Academy2.044.7%1st Place
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13.05University of Vermont1.052.4%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island1.612.6%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University2.426.6%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.7%1st Place
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10.6Old Dominion University1.593.2%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
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10.39University of Miami1.933.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.6% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lars Osell | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.