Race 3B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Barch 18.1% 17.4% 16.9% 13.0% 12.0% 9.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Michael Kang 9.4% 9.4% 9.9% 10.6% 11.6% 12.8% 11.9% 10.8% 9.0% 3.8% 0.8%
Kelly Seago 14.7% 14.1% 14.0% 11.7% 13.9% 10.8% 9.3% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
David Kluger 17.3% 15.8% 13.5% 15.2% 12.0% 10.9% 7.1% 4.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Doug Rombach 5.5% 5.7% 4.5% 6.9% 8.2% 8.2% 10.8% 14.9% 15.9% 15.2% 4.2%
Andrew Hess 5.2% 6.8% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 9.0% 13.2% 12.6% 15.9% 11.0% 4.0%
Jessica Traver 7.0% 5.5% 8.2% 7.4% 8.9% 9.5% 12.0% 15.0% 14.7% 8.6% 3.2%
Jason Doyle 9.7% 11.0% 11.0% 11.6% 11.4% 9.7% 10.0% 12.5% 8.6% 4.1% 0.4%
John Buzzell 10.7% 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 10.2% 11.9% 11.4% 9.1% 7.2% 3.0% 0.7%
Emily Van Dam 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 3.0% 4.3% 4.7% 7.0% 14.3% 31.7% 26.9%
Michael Metzen 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 3.2% 2.4% 3.2% 6.9% 19.8% 59.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.