Race 4B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Barch 17.1% 17.8% 15.7% 15.4% 12.1% 10.3% 6.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
David Kluger 19.0% 16.5% 16.1% 12.7% 12.8% 8.8% 7.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Jessica Traver 5.7% 5.4% 5.7% 6.9% 8.3% 9.7% 11.1% 15.3% 16.1% 12.4% 3.4%
Michael Kang 8.5% 8.9% 8.7% 9.9% 11.7% 12.5% 12.5% 11.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.1%
Kelly Seago 16.0% 15.5% 14.8% 12.2% 12.7% 8.8% 9.0% 6.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.0%
John Buzzell 10.8% 12.7% 11.3% 11.8% 11.6% 11.6% 10.8% 9.1% 6.1% 3.7% 0.5%
Doug Rombach 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 7.5% 7.3% 10.4% 11.9% 13.5% 17.3% 11.9% 3.6%
Jason Doyle 9.4% 9.5% 12.6% 11.9% 11.0% 11.6% 10.4% 10.7% 8.5% 4.0% 0.4%
Andrew Hess 5.5% 6.1% 6.9% 7.2% 8.2% 9.5% 13.3% 14.3% 14.3% 10.6% 4.1%
Emily Van Dam 1.8% 1.3% 1.9% 3.3% 2.6% 4.3% 5.3% 7.2% 13.2% 32.3% 26.8%
Michael Metzen 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 4.0% 7.7% 18.3% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.