Race 5B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
David Kluger 16.2% 19.7% 20.0% 16.1% 12.0% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Dan Bracciano 49.0% 29.1% 13.7% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Buzzell 8.4% 13.5% 15.4% 15.6% 17.3% 12.2% 11.0% 5.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Doug Rombach 2.9% 5.5% 7.2% 10.6% 11.8% 14.2% 19.4% 14.4% 10.3% 3.7%
Jessica Traver 5.0% 6.8% 8.7% 10.4% 12.8% 16.5% 16.5% 14.6% 6.0% 2.7%
Jason Doyle 8.5% 10.5% 12.2% 17.5% 15.4% 13.5% 11.9% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Emily Van Dam 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 4.2% 7.4% 9.8% 17.8% 30.9% 22.5%
Michael Kang 6.9% 11.2% 14.9% 14.6% 16.7% 14.3% 9.5% 8.8% 2.9% 0.2%
Sonya Schoenberger 1.6% 1.6% 5.0% 4.0% 5.1% 10.7% 12.3% 18.9% 26.4% 14.4%
Michael Metzen 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 2.4% 3.0% 2.6% 4.5% 9.8% 19.9% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.