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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+10.69vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+6.27vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+5.79vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.54vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15-0.20vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.35+1.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.97vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.42-0.51vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.27+2.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-3.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.28vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.42-0.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.09-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-4.49vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.61-5.08vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-4.26vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.05-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.69Old Dominion University1.572.6%1st Place
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8.27Boston College2.565.5%1st Place
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8.79Jacksonville University2.104.8%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.1815.8%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University3.1516.2%1st Place
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7.51Tulane University2.357.7%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.4%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University2.427.1%1st Place
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11.32George Washington University1.272.6%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.689.6%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy2.045.1%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University1.423.0%1st Place
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12.42Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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12.83University of Wisconsin1.091.7%1st Place
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10.51University of Miami1.933.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.9%1st Place
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12.59University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.8% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.