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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.84+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.81-1.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.05-2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound1.30-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Oregon1.840.2%1st Place
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1.75University of Washington2.810.5%1st Place
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2.48Western Washington University2.050.2%1st Place
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3.13University of Puget Sound1.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Emmes | 19.0% | 24.6% | 29.4% | 27.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 49.6% | 30.2% | 15.9% | 4.3% |
| Katherine Stephens | 21.6% | 28.7% | 29.7% | 20.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 9.8% | 16.5% | 25.0% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.