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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.62vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.15+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+7.85vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.93vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93+4.57vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.35+0.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.09+3.93vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.42-2.77vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.42+0.27vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.10-3.26vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.27-1.80vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.56-5.80vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.57-3.18vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-2.93vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.88vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Harvard University3.1817.5%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University3.1515.6%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island1.612.6%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University2.689.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.045.5%1st Place
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10.57University of Miami1.933.2%1st Place
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7.57Tulane University2.356.8%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Wisconsin1.091.9%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University2.427.5%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University1.422.1%1st Place
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8.74Jacksonville University2.105.5%1st Place
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11.2George Washington University1.272.8%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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11.82Old Dominion University1.572.6%1st Place
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13.07University of Vermont1.051.7%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 17.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.