Race 6B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dan Bracciano 51.0% 26.0% 12.9% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kluger 14.5% 19.4% 20.8% 17.1% 13.2% 7.2% 5.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
John Buzzell 9.7% 12.0% 15.6% 15.8% 17.5% 12.9% 9.7% 5.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Michael Kang 5.3% 12.5% 14.5% 14.0% 16.5% 15.3% 11.6% 6.6% 3.2% 0.5%
Doug Rombach 4.4% 6.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.3% 15.6% 16.7% 17.3% 9.1% 3.1%
Jason Doyle 8.0% 11.9% 13.6% 15.1% 14.6% 14.6% 11.4% 7.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Sonya Schoenberger 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 6.0% 5.6% 7.8% 13.6% 22.0% 24.6% 14.6%
Jessica Traver 3.9% 7.2% 9.0% 11.7% 13.3% 14.7% 16.8% 12.8% 8.8% 1.8%
Emily Van Dam 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.8% 3.4% 7.6% 9.7% 17.1% 30.2% 22.9%
Michael Metzen 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.5% 3.0% 3.4% 4.6% 10.0% 18.9% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.