Race 7B

wet-your-willie

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dan Bracciano 50.9% 26.1% 12.0% 7.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kluger 14.3% 19.7% 19.5% 17.7% 12.1% 8.2% 5.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
John Buzzell 9.1% 13.1% 14.3% 15.5% 17.1% 12.1% 10.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.0%
Jason Doyle 5.4% 12.8% 14.2% 14.2% 15.2% 15.7% 10.5% 9.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Jessica Traver 5.3% 6.8% 9.0% 9.1% 11.4% 14.0% 18.0% 16.9% 7.8% 1.7%
Andrew Hess 5.2% 7.1% 8.7% 10.5% 12.8% 13.1% 14.1% 18.1% 8.5% 1.9%
Melita Aquino 4.8% 7.3% 11.8% 13.0% 15.1% 14.8% 16.4% 11.3% 4.6% 0.9%
Doug Rombach 3.7% 5.4% 8.5% 9.2% 10.6% 14.3% 15.6% 20.4% 10.0% 2.3%
Michael Metzen 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 3.2% 4.4% 7.2% 32.2% 47.0%
Haley Johnson 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 1.9% 3.7% 4.3% 8.3% 31.9% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.