← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+7.93vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.68+4.47vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.07+9.36vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.35+3.71vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.27+6.48vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.05+6.81vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.42+4.36vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.57+3.85vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.04vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University2.10-1.31vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami1.93-0.55vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.42-4.56vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University3.15-8.14vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.18-9.41vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.10vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.61-5.16vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.20-5.03vs Predicted
-
18Boston College2.56-9.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.045.0%1st Place
-
6.47Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
-
12.36Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
-
7.71Tulane University2.356.5%1st Place
-
11.48George Washington University1.273.1%1st Place
-
12.81University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
-
11.36Fordham University1.423.0%1st Place
-
11.85Old Dominion University1.572.6%1st Place
-
7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.7%1st Place
-
8.69Jacksonville University2.105.3%1st Place
-
10.45University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
-
7.44Georgetown University2.427.8%1st Place
-
4.86Stanford University3.1515.8%1st Place
-
4.59Harvard University3.1815.4%1st Place
-
12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.5%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island1.613.9%1st Place
-
11.97University of Wisconsin1.202.5%1st Place
-
8.33Boston College2.565.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.9% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.