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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.28+6.63vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.68vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+2.09vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+3.98vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.57+7.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61+4.81vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.10+1.72vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+4.25vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-2.43vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42+1.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.86vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-1.78vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.35-5.38vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.56-5.54vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.27-3.64vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.20-3.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.94vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.05-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy2.287.2%1st Place
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4.68Harvard University3.1816.1%1st Place
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5.09Stanford University3.1515.0%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University2.405.7%1st Place
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12.0Old Dominion University1.572.2%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island1.613.1%1st Place
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8.72Jacksonville University2.105.4%1st Place
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12.25Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University2.689.6%1st Place
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11.33Fordham University1.423.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.7%1st Place
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10.22University of Miami1.933.8%1st Place
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7.62Tulane University2.357.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.565.2%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University1.273.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin1.202.5%1st Place
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13.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.8%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont1.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.