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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Northwestern University1.25+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.50-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.57-0.07vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.08-0.18vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.79-2.61vs Predicted
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8Washington University0.08-2.21vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.59-5.17vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.07-4.95vs Predicted
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12Indiana University-1.93-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-1.92-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Northwestern University1.250.2%1st Place
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1.88University of Michigan2.500.5%1st Place
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4.93University of Chicago0.570.1%1st Place
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5.82Purdue University0.080.0%1st Place
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4.39Western Michigan University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.79Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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6.05Michigan Technological University-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.88Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Illinois-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Kluger | 16.1% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dan Bracciano | 49.1% | 27.4% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kang | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Traver | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| John Buzzell | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Hess | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Jason Doyle | 5.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Doug Rombach | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 2.0% |
| Michael Metzen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 31.9% | 46.8% |
| Haley Johnson | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 31.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.