Race 9B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Barch 18.5% 17.6% 15.3% 13.1% 13.9% 9.8% 7.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Kang 8.3% 10.3% 9.7% 10.3% 12.6% 12.8% 13.0% 10.9% 9.1% 2.3% 0.7%
John Buzzell 10.0% 9.6% 13.3% 12.3% 11.5% 13.2% 11.2% 9.3% 7.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Doug Rombach 4.4% 4.2% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 8.8% 12.3% 17.1% 19.9% 11.6% 2.6%
Kelly Seago 17.5% 14.8% 13.6% 12.6% 12.1% 10.6% 7.9% 6.2% 4.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Andrew Hess 4.7% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 10.4% 10.4% 11.3% 15.1% 17.1% 8.5% 2.2%
Jessica Traver 6.6% 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 7.5% 11.6% 12.3% 15.1% 15.5% 7.8% 1.4%
Jason Doyle 10.1% 9.1% 10.9% 12.3% 11.7% 11.4% 11.5% 11.7% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6%
Michael Metzen 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 7.0% 31.6% 47.5%
Haley Johnson 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 8.9% 31.9% 44.7%
David Kluger 18.5% 19.4% 16.0% 14.3% 9.8% 8.0% 7.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.