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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+9.94vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.07+10.38vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.68vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.63vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15+0.03vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+3.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.09vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.27+2.39vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.57+2.02vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+1.96vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.10-3.19vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.35-5.36vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.40-6.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.28-7.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.18vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.20-5.04vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.42-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.94University of Rhode Island1.612.3%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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4.68Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.6810.3%1st Place
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5.03Stanford University3.1514.2%1st Place
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8.51Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
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10.33University of Miami1.933.4%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.7%1st Place
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11.39George Washington University1.273.0%1st Place
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12.02Old Dominion University1.572.1%1st Place
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12.96University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
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8.81Jacksonville University2.105.3%1st Place
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7.64Tulane University2.356.3%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University2.407.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy2.286.5%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.7%1st Place
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11.96University of Wisconsin1.203.1%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University1.422.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 18.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.