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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+10.31vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+6.48vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.35+4.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+3.99vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15-0.23vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.93+2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+3.30vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.40-2.53vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-4.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.09-0.49vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.42-2.91vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.61-5.60vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.27-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.31Old Dominion University1.572.2%1st Place
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8.48Jacksonville University2.105.0%1st Place
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7.41Tulane University2.357.7%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.565.5%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University3.1513.8%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University3.1815.8%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.9%1st Place
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10.06University of Miami1.933.8%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University2.407.8%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University2.689.6%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Naval Academy2.287.3%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
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11.09Fordham University1.422.6%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island1.613.5%1st Place
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11.06George Washington University1.272.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 19.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 19.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 15.6% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.