Race 10B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Kluger 17.0% 16.3% 16.2% 13.6% 13.2% 9.5% 7.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Kelly Seago 16.8% 15.8% 13.0% 14.7% 11.0% 10.4% 8.7% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Rachel Barch 18.0% 16.6% 17.3% 12.4% 11.7% 9.9% 7.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
John Buzzell 10.8% 11.1% 10.0% 13.0% 13.2% 12.0% 12.5% 8.3% 6.2% 2.7% 0.2%
Doug Rombach 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 7.2% 9.9% 10.1% 14.4% 20.9% 11.8% 2.0%
Michael Kang 9.1% 10.3% 9.8% 10.0% 11.5% 13.2% 12.0% 9.9% 9.4% 4.2% 0.6%
Andrew Hess 6.7% 6.0% 8.1% 7.6% 8.9% 9.2% 13.0% 17.0% 14.4% 7.4% 1.7%
Jason Doyle 10.6% 9.4% 12.1% 11.7% 11.1% 10.9% 11.5% 10.6% 9.0% 2.6% 0.5%
Jessica Traver 5.2% 7.1% 5.7% 7.5% 8.2% 9.8% 12.4% 16.8% 16.1% 8.9% 2.3%
Michael Metzen 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 1.2% 2.2% 3.0% 1.5% 4.0% 9.4% 28.9% 47.6%
Haley Johnson 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 4.3% 8.9% 31.8% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.