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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+3.91vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+4.07vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+4.95vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40+1.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.09+4.34vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10-0.46vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.57+1.35vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.42-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-0.56vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.35-6.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.12vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-4.06vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.27-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Stanford University3.1514.3%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University3.1816.5%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University2.6810.8%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.566.8%1st Place
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9.95University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University2.406.4%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Naval Academy2.286.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin1.091.9%1st Place
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8.54Jacksonville University2.105.2%1st Place
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11.35Old Dominion University1.572.1%1st Place
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10.92Fordham University1.422.9%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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12.44University of Vermont1.051.5%1st Place
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7.52Tulane University2.358.2%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.0%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University1.071.7%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University1.272.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 19.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 19.8% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 14.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.