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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+3.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+6.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.59vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.41vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40+1.46vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.09+4.32vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.57+2.46vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.35-2.57vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07+0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-3.07vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.70-0.98vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.28-7.34vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-3.80vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.10-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Stanford University3.1514.3%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.2%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University2.407.6%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
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11.46Old Dominion University1.572.4%1st Place
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7.43Tulane University2.357.1%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island1.612.8%1st Place
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9.93University of Miami1.933.8%1st Place
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13.02George Washington University0.701.6%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy2.286.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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8.54Jacksonville University2.105.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 17.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% |
| Miles Williams | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 25.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.