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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+3.64vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.55vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.44vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+7.40vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10+3.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.99vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.35+0.30vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56-0.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93+0.12vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-2.08vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-4.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.28-5.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-1.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-4.24vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.09-3.58vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.70-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Stanford University3.1517.4%1st Place
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4.55Harvard University3.1814.2%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University2.689.1%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University1.572.5%1st Place
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8.65Jacksonville University2.104.3%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.8%1st Place
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7.3Tulane University2.357.5%1st Place
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7.96Boston College2.565.8%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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10.12University of Miami1.933.3%1st Place
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8.92Fordham University1.984.3%1st Place
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7.42Georgetown University2.407.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy2.287.3%1st Place
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12.35University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
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10.76University of Rhode Island1.612.8%1st Place
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12.42University of Wisconsin1.092.5%1st Place
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12.86George Washington University0.702.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 17.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.2% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.6% |
| Miles Williams | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Abe Weston | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 20.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.