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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+2.05vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.21+1.59vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.41+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+1.66vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84-0.58vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.89vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.60+0.25vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.86-0.97vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-0.72-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.46-4.48vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.42-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Jacksonville University1.4526.7%1st Place
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3.59Eckerd College1.2121.1%1st Place
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4.88Rollins College0.4110.4%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida0.508.0%1st Place
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4.42Jacksonville University0.8412.2%1st Place
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7.89Embry-Riddle University-0.523.8%1st Place
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8.82Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.2%1st Place
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8.25University of South Florida-0.603.0%1st Place
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9.14Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.2%1st Place
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9.03University of Florida-0.862.5%1st Place
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8.42Florida State University-0.722.8%1st Place
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7.52University of Central Florida-0.464.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Florida-1.421.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 26.7% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 21.1% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| catherine brennan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% |
| Ava Moring | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% |
| Madison Roy | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.