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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.41+3.82vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+2.46vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+5.65vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.21-0.38vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.45-1.86vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.50-0.47vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.06vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.60+0.17vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.42+0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.86-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.46-4.33vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-0.72-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Rollins College0.4111.9%1st Place
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4.46Jacksonville University0.8413.5%1st Place
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8.65Florida Institute of Technology-0.293.0%1st Place
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3.62Eckerd College1.2120.7%1st Place
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3.14Jacksonville University1.4523.8%1st Place
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5.53University of South Florida0.507.5%1st Place
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8.06Embry-Riddle University-0.523.5%1st Place
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8.17University of South Florida-0.603.3%1st Place
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9.27Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.2%1st Place
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10.19University of Florida-1.420.9%1st Place
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8.98University of Florida-0.862.5%1st Place
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7.67University of Central Florida-0.464.0%1st Place
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8.44Florida State University-0.723.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Kamps | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
| Morgan Smith | 20.7% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 23.8% | 22.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| catherine brennan | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 31.9% |
| Ava Moring | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Madison Roy | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.