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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College4.15+4.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.83+4.74vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+3.29vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.80vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.67-0.85vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+1.66vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.06vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73+1.91vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.14-0.79vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.27-2.14vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-1.37vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.24+1.85vs Predicted
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14William and Mary2.13-1.22vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.81-1.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.00vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.55-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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6.29Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.2%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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7.66Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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10.91Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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8.86Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.63Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.0%1st Place
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14.85Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.78William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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13.49Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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11.38Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Murray | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Aras | 18.1% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Philip Alley | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 47.4% |
| Isaac Clark | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 12.2% |
| Samantha Gebb | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.