← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64+0.60vs Predicted
-
2Hamilton College-1.45+1.47vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.95-0.09vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-2.13+0.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Rochester-2.03-0.74vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology-2.19-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.6Stevens Institute of Technology-3.6459.6%1st Place
-
3.47Hamilton College-1.459.8%1st Place
-
2.91University of Rochester-0.9515.4%1st Place
-
4.34Syracuse University-2.135.5%1st Place
-
4.26University of Rochester-2.035.5%1st Place
-
4.41Rochester Institute of Technology-2.194.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Feves | 59.6% | 26.0% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Reid Chapman | 9.8% | 17.5% | 23.4% | 23.5% | 16.0% | 9.8% |
| Asa Guldbrandsen | 15.4% | 27.1% | 26.6% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Antonio Aaron | 5.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 28.4% |
| Will Sexter | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 23.4% | 26.6% |
| Ryan Massengill | 4.3% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.