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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.41+4.23vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.21+1.94vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.45+0.44vs Predicted
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4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+2.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50+1.16vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84-1.18vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+2.38vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.46-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.42+1.03vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-0.72-1.78vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-0.86-3.13vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida-0.60-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Rollins College0.4111.2%1st Place
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3.94Eckerd College1.2118.1%1st Place
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3.44Jacksonville University1.4521.6%1st Place
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6.29Palm Beach Atlantic University0.366.9%1st Place
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6.16University of South Florida0.507.2%1st Place
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4.82Jacksonville University0.8412.8%1st Place
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9.38Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.9%1st Place
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8.65Embry-Riddle University-0.522.7%1st Place
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8.15University of Central Florida-0.464.2%1st Place
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11.03University of Florida-1.421.3%1st Place
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9.22Florida State University-0.722.5%1st Place
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9.95Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.2%1st Place
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9.87University of Florida-0.862.6%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida-0.603.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Kamps | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Smith | 18.1% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 21.6% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Luke Justin | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 30.4% |
| Madison Roy | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| Ava Moring | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| catherine brennan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.