← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.58+1.96vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.45+1.19vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College0.44+2.36vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.44+1.60vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University-0.25+2.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Florida-1.84+2.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Central Florida-0.20+0.02vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology0.01-1.62vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida-0.17-1.98vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-2.18+1.80vs Predicted
-
11Rollins College-0.45-3.18vs Predicted
-
12University of Florida-0.99-2.86vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.54-2.59vs Predicted
-
14Palm Beach Atlantic University-2.78-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Jacksonville University1.5827.5%1st Place
-
3.19University of South Florida1.4522.5%1st Place
-
5.36Eckerd College0.449.2%1st Place
-
5.6Jacksonville University0.448.5%1st Place
-
7.18Florida State University-0.255.3%1st Place
-
8.38University of Florida-1.843.4%1st Place
-
7.02University of Central Florida-0.205.6%1st Place
-
6.38Florida Institute of Technology0.016.3%1st Place
-
7.02University of South Florida-0.174.5%1st Place
-
11.8Florida Institute of Technology-2.180.3%1st Place
-
7.82Rollins College-0.453.4%1st Place
-
9.14University of Florida-0.992.4%1st Place
-
10.41Embry-Riddle University-1.541.1%1st Place
-
12.75Palm Beach Atlantic University-2.780.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 27.5% | 22.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 22.5% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Connell | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Marco Distel | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Annette Breton | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Golino | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 31.6% | 27.0% |
| Zi Burns | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Dan Borras-Quintero | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Carter Speh | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 10.2% |
| Taryn Leverance | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 20.6% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.